on receipt 6-15-98 (LO) OHIO CONSUMER CONFIDENCE DROPS IN MAY, SHOWING UNCERTAINTY COLUMBUS -- Ohioans seem to be somewhat uncertain about the state of the economy, according to a new survey by researchers at The Ohio State University. The Ohio Consumer Confidence Index fell just more than 1 1/2 points in May, continuing a trend of slight gains and losses in the index this year. The index rose from January to February, fell in March and rose again in April. "We're seeing an increased sense of uncertainty over the economy which first surfaced last fall with the financial turmoil in Asia," said Lucia Dunn, professor of economics at Ohio State. The index now stands at 103.0, down from its April value of 104.6. Values over 100 in the index are considered evidence of strong consumer confidence. The index is compiled monthly by Ohio State's Survey Research Unit to gauge Ohioans' feelings about the economy. Dunn said consumers' uncertainty about the economy has grown stronger in recent months because of the gyrating U.S. stock market and the possibility of higher interest rates from the Federal Reserve. Ohioans' feelings about the economy mirror those of consumers across the country. The two major national consumer confidence indices have shown similar up-and-down patterns. Still, Dunn said the news is not all bad. The Ohio index is still five points above its level one year ago in May 1997. And the inflationary outlook of Ohio consumers continues to be good. The average expected rate of inflation for the next year among those surveyed fell to 3.1 percent from the April level of 3.4 percent. "If this expectation is borne out in coming months, it should ameliorate consumer and market fears that the Federal Reserve will act to raise interest rates as a move against inflation," Dunn said. The survey showed that Ohioans' general expectations about economic conditions one year from now declined. However, the long-term five-year outlook improved slightly. "People are more uncertain about the immediate future, but not about the longer- term future," she said. Ohioans were less positive in May about current economic conditions. For example, 10.1 percent of those surveyed in May said it is a bad time to make major purchases -- compared to only 6.7 percent who said that in April. In addition, 18.3 percent of those surveyed in May said their personal finances were worse off now than they were a year ago. Only 14.1 percent said that in April. # Contact: Lucia Dunn, (614) 292-8071 Written by Jeff Grabmeier, (614) 292-8457